Firming Renewable Energy

Firm energy is energy you can count on.  Energy that you can dispatch when you need it, or that comes in a regular schedule that you can schedule energy balancing around. 

Capacity credits or payments are calculated in several different ways, and since the introduction of utility scale wind and solar energy generation the question of what 'Capacity Factor' means is by no means agreed upon.  Even a coal or gas steam plant will have some periods of maintenance, or have some risk of unexpected downtime.  Wind and solar extend this concept quite widely, where the capacity of a solar installation may reduce 50% in a matter of 30 seconds.  Photovoltaic solar arrays may be even more susceptible to sudden drops in production than wind farms, as sporadic cloud cover is even more difficult to predict than short term wind speeds.

When solar exists as only demonstration projects within a utility, representing only a miniscule fraction of total energy input, this issue is a small one.  As we come to actually rely on the energy produced from large solar arrays, the need to smooth out these sudden drops in production will become more important.

According to a North American Electric Reliability Corporation (NERC) study, utility scale photovoltaic solar systems may experience variations in output of +/- 50% in a 30 to 90 second timeframe and +/- 70% in a five to ten minute time frame. “Furthermore,” according to the study, “ramps of this magnitude can be experienced many times in a single day during certain weather conditions.” This phenomenon has been observed at present day utility photovoltaic solar arrays deployed in the U.S.

While some ISOs and RTOs actually have specific rules and markets for calculating capacity payments, the end question is how 1) reliable the energy is (meaning predictable to allow scheduling for energy balancing) and 2) how dispatchable the energy is (can the energy be used when required with short notice). 

Both of these factors reduce the value of the energy produced by renewable energy.  Batteries can increase the capacity factor for renewable energy.  These payments are either made on the open market, as are reflected in long term PPAs.

Clearly, batteries can firm renewable energy into a reliable, dispatchable resource.  Work needs to be done by ISOs and utilities to properly capture this value in capacity payments and PPAs for renewable energy producers.